The InvestMentor

July 24, 2000

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A Long Awaited REITurn to Favor

Analytical discoveries within investment management firms go something like this: "Hey! REIT stocks are really kicking butt!" And so it went the other morning as I shared with my colleague the realization that REIT stocks appear to be finally turning the corner after a painfully long period of under performance, dating back to 1997. It’s not as if we hadn’t noticed the improvement of REITs before now, but in the world of REIT cyclical peaks and troughs, you have to see a rally go for awhile, in order to see if it will take. For a couple of reasons, I’ll stick my neck out and proclaim this rally a recovery and further solicit your interest in these unique investments.

REIT stands for Real Estate Investment Trust. They are companies engaged in the real estate business operating under a unique tax-law-driven charter. Essentially, a REIT is not taxed on the income as long as it passes most of it through to shareholders in the form of dividends. What it doesn’t distribute it reinvests.

REITs are most often distinguished from one another by their portfolio of property. Types of property include residential (multi-unit family [apartments]), commercial (strip malls, office complexes), hospitality (hotels, restaurants), and health care (hospitals, medical buildings). Factors that effect the income of REITs include property value, leasing prices, occupancy rates, and taxes. There are hundreds of REITs that trade on the exchanges.

REITs are attractive for several reasons including:

  • They are a "play" on the real estate cycle. While not perfectly correlated to the cycle of prices, they do tend to reflect the dynamics of the industry
  • Accordingly, they’re a diversification from most other stocks. Since they trade on different fundamentals, they exhibit different price behavior. Need proof? Check out their lousy return of the last several years.
  • They tend to exhibit less volatility than average stocks, and perform well in down markets.
  • They also offer the fixed income benefit of a bond. Because they must pass income along to shareholders, they have very high dividend yields. In addition to the income, they offer additional appreciation in the form of a rising stock price.
  • REITs represent an interest in a hard asset as opposed to the liquid assets of the securities markets, and are a form of inflation hedge over time

But REITs attractiveness fluctuates with investor interest. Like other forms of real estate, the cycles are looooong. For three years, REITs haven’t done bupkus. In a world of high flying, gotta-have-a-dot-com stock preference, boring old REITs were discarded—in spite of great underlying fundamentals. Starting in December, that seems to have changed.

This year, REITs are up an impressive 20% (according to the Morgan Stanley REIT index). And while their dividend yields aren’t nearly the 11% of last winter, they’re still a mouth watering 8%, on average. I believe that part of their reemergence as a favorite of investors owes itself to the teeth chattering effects of the NASDAQ in free fall—boring looks pretty good in a tech blood bath. Additionally, I think the 11% dividend notion brought some money to the table. Finally, after several years of consolidation, coupled with earnings growth, some of these stocks look very strong.

So, where can you get-you-some? At you friendly neighborhood online stock-screening tool, such as the one at Quicken.com. Screen by industry for "Real Estate Investment Trusts," and do your narrowing from there.

At the time of publication, the author was neither long nor short any of the stocks mentioned in this article, either in client accounts or personal ones. Positions may change at any time.

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